Monday, May 29, 2006

Yet Another Earthquake

Another Earthquake of a magnitude of 6.3 on the Richter scale struck this Saturday. According to the BBC, almost 4,900 died.

Last year I was discussing with my friends how the earthquakes seem to occur more frequently nowadays. I have this belief that we are nearing the end of days. Of course I am not alone in this belief; however, most people still think that this some sort of zealous thinking. An old wives tale or something of that sort.

There are many theories about the sign of the end of days. All three major religions talk about such a period. They may disagree on the details and outcomes; however all three share the same general concept.

I shall not get into any of the details in this post; however, I will point out that Earthquakes and natural disasters are common amongst them all.

Last year I decided to track the number of earthquakes and their frequency. As soon as I embarked on that journey, I found out that it wasn't that simple. After all, technically many Earthquakes occurs everyday. However, their magnitude may be low that humans do not feel its occurence. Therefore, the question arose, how can one track the frequency? Should I track Earthquakes with a magnitude greater than 6? If that was the case, I needed historical data. That wasn't hard to find either. In fact with some research I was able to come across articles which discuss frequency. Some suggested that the 70's experienced an increase andd so on ... While the frequency declined in following decades. There was no silver bullet.

Of course I dropped the subject after that and admitted to my friends that I had nothing to go on but personal beliefs. However, the frequncy of news reports on earthquake fatalities certainly is more frequent at least during my lifetime. Surely, we have better news coverage nowadays. However, is it that much different than what we had in the 80's ? How about the 90's ?

Either way, it might not be crystal clear today, I believe it surely will be five years from now. We are living in interesting times.